Friday 26 August 2022

Aurillac: the club all fans of "Tier 2" nations should root for

Aurillac Espoirs celebrate winning the club's
first ever national French title
Among the best news stories of the summer for "Tier 2" rugby was the triumph of Aurillac Espoirs. One of the lower budget Pro D2 (27th out of the top 30 French clubs last season), they sensationally against the odds toppled a number of the Top 14 big hitters to win the club's first ever French title.

This a major achievement. The Espoirs title over the past decade has been won the likes of Clermont (5 times), Montpellier, Racing 92, Bordeaux-Bègles, Perpignan, Toulon, & Toulouse. All those Top 14 sides can obviously attract far more of the top young French talent from smaller clubs. Yet Aurillac beat them all.

Aurillac's run in the knockout stages was thrilling. In the quarter final they beat Clermont 33-30 in extra time. In the semi final they came from 22-6 behind away from home to beat Perpignan (who had gone unbeaten in the regular season) 26-25 in the final kick of the match. In the final they were 23-10 down against the reigning champions Toulouse but finished strongly powering home scoring 27 points in the final 25 minutes to win 37-26.

This win for Aurillac though is also a big win for European rugby as a whole. As a small club in a region where the top talent gets hoovered up by their more powerful neighbour Clermont. It has led them to scouting the rest of the continent for recruits where bigger budget sides are not looking.

In their 23 for the final there were six Georgians: loosehead prop Irakli Mtchedlidze, hooker Basa Khonelidze, tighthead prop Nikoloz Kardava, back row Beka Shvangiradze, scrum half Mikheil Alania, & wing Dachi Papunashvili.

Video: Beka Shvangiradze's impressive 2021/22 highlight reel for Aurillac & Georgia 

Also three Dutch: lock Skip Jongejan, flanker Tim De Jong, & centre Juun Pieters. Three other Dutch also played for them in the regular season. Flanker Hugo Huurman, scrum half Boris Hadinegoro, & full back Kai van Kampen. So did Russian prop Ivan Beskov and Spanish centre Dani Catanzaro

There were also three French players with links to "Tier 2" nations. Lock Mosa'ati Moala is the son of former Tonga prop Mosese Moala, the other lock Mehdi Slamani made his debut for Algeria in July, and the wing Toni Maftei is the son of former Romania wing Valentin Maftei and has represented the Oaks at age grade level.

No other professional club in France has ever had so many players from Rugby Europe nations on their books.

The Georgians and the Dutch in particular also had very prominent roles in the Espoirs success. Juun Pieters was recognised as one of the leading players of the knockout rounds for his all round contributions both in attack and defence. Tim de Jong was a powerful presence and was one of the players to win a call up to the first team late in the season.

Tim de Jong powerful try assist in a 24-22 away win vs Racing 92

Dachi Papunashvili kicked the match winning penalty from 50 metres in extra time vs Clermont and finished a crucial late try from a cross kick in the comeback vs Perpignan.

Papunashvili's match winning extra time penalty from 50 metres out vs Clermont 

The all Georgian front row came of the bench to dominate Perpignan at scrum to win the match winning penalty. Irakli Mtchedlidze could be seen making huge charges around the park in the build up to tries. Basa Khonelidze strong impact in the final saw him named man of the match coming from the bench.

Mikheil Alania scored a 50 metre individual wonder try against Clermont, and alongside the super impressive Beka Shvangiradze was one of the standouts of the team, with both those players also earning call ups to the Georgian national team this July.

Mikheil Alania 50 metre individual try vs Clermont in the quarter final

In the off season Aurillac only signed two players to their senior squad against ten departures, and it is clear from their pre-season matches the club's management are now backing the best of this group for promotions to first team level.

Hopefully several of these players will go onto good senior careers, both for their club and country. Their success is important as it could also help influence recruitment at other French clubs who may then begin take more notice of Rugby Europe age grade tournaments and open up further opportunity for more young players to play professionally and qualify as JIFF in French rugby.

In any case as the Pro D2 season kicks off this week. Aurillac are without doubt the team any fan of Georgian or Dutch or any other "Tier 2" nation in general should be rooting for.

Can "Tier 1" ever be persuaded to expand the Six Nations?

Can the Six Nations be persuaded to
open their doors to expansion?
Over the past several years after a poor result for Italy in the Six Nations there has been discussion around promotion and relegation. Whilst this does shed some light on the obvious unfairness of the system for those shut out by the status quo. It is not either a sensible or realistic idea and it is time it gets forgotten.

The risk (albeit for most Unions it would be tiny) would pose to any Six Nations side would be huge. A large percentage of each Unions budgets is based on the income generated by the tournament. Relegation would be potentially ruinous. It is a total non-starter and if you suggest it they just will slam they door in your face.

Whilst it is true this also makes the Six Nations blazers utterly hypocritical, as they know how much worse off they would be in the REC, yet talk down to those in Europe with ambitions to join for not being at their level. It nevertheless is not a good idea from the perspective of the overall growth and competitiveness of the sport. The potential gains of the side being promoted would be cancelled out by the consequences for the one being relegated.

Instead those who want to the sport grow must focus on making the argument for expansion. The problem here is of course there is unfortunately there is not much sign the Six Nations blazers want to spend a second contemplating this idea either.

However if the chance they accept relegation rounds down to something like 0%. The chance of expansion, although also small, is surely a tiny bit better. Also even if something is unlikely, doesn't mean there is never any value of making the argument for it, and the discussion always needs to start somewhere. Meekly accepting the status quo will doom "Tier 2" forever.

The Pacific Islands have vocally campaigned in the media for various things that were not supposed to happen (All Blacks in Samoa, looser eligibility laws) and managed to win. They should be a model for European "Tier 2" to fight for their interests.

The actual problem is the Six Nations run the European game like the continent's governing body but without the responsibility to help anyone but themselves. So pointing out that it would obviously help the sport grow enormously isn't enough. You need to make the case it will benefit "Tier 1" too and try address their biggest problems. So this a first draft attempt to think of ways of giving it some appeal to them and open the door maybe just a little.

The format

If the initial expansion is to 8 teams. The format would be two pools of 4 teams. It would be necessary to ditch the round robin league format with expansion as there is no room in the calendar to expand in that way.

The two pools could look something like this:

Pool 1: France, England, Italy, Georgia
Pool 2: Ireland, Scotland, Wales, Spain

This would be followed by a round of semi finals, bronze final, and grand final. To keep all teams maintaining revenue from five matches it would also require ranking matches from 5-8.

To avoid scaring the Six Nations. The proposal would be for this expanded format to take place only once every four years in between RWCs (like football's European Championship).

The first monster hurdle to overcome

Will attachment to the traditional
Six Nations clashes forever block
any hope of rugby's growth?
Immediately this plan will be met with a monster hurdle. A year without a "traditional" annual fixture like the England vs Scotland Calcutta Cup clash will seem utterly unthinkable to many in the Six Nations.

It is hard, but unfortunately this is something that the sport has overcome. If you follow through the line of thinking that an England vs Scotland or England vs Wales match has to happen every year as part of the tournament and that is non-negotiable. Then it will be simply impossible for the tournament and the sport to ever grow. Only a round-robin can guarantee these fixtures and that format cannot move beyond six teams. If the sport can't get beyond this point then we may as well give up any hope of rugby ever becoming significantly stronger on the continent.

Already suspect many in Six Nations tempted to slam the door shut again. But would note a couple of things. The added England vs Georgia match to the tournament would be of far more commercial value as part of a big event than in a friendly (remember Ireland vs Romania set the RWC record attendance in 2015). Whereas the "traditional" fixtures like England vs Scotland could always be replaced and sell equally well as standalone friendlies. So they could still have all their "traditional" rivalries and make just as much money from them, but also gain more than they would otherwise from the "Tier 2" fixture.

Also remember. In football there was an annual England vs Scotland fixture for 117 years up to 1989. The sport did not crumble going a year without it. There are other interesting matches and rivalries to make if more teams were allowed to grow.

The losing 5th/6th nation

Whilst it might not be so bad for the top four sides who reach the semi finals, for the 5th or 6th placed of the Six Nations, it would see a reduction in their level of fixtures with them playing two "Tier 2" sides. Admittedly this may be a hard sell (even though to repeat they can still organise the historic matches which would still sell well as friendlies).

But at least it is not nearly as hard a sell as the idea of promotion and relegation where a Six Nations side would in theory be exposed to risk of dropping out of the tournament completely.

Also we need not forget to think not just of the present but the future. A side like Spain coming up could bring big crowds and grow significantly with the benefits of inclusion. The atmosphere and vibe around the games as part of a big event should make the "Tier 2" games a lot more exciting for "Tier 1" an standard friendly.

Many "Tier 1" fans do not respect the REC (as seen by various predictions prior to Italy vs Portugal or Georgia this summer) but these sides have worked hard to improve and with increased resources available could be more competitive quicker than some think. It is not as if we are asking to consider sides who would frequently ship 60 points.

Rugby World Cup seeding bonus

Another concern is the tournament could fail to carry the big event if it seen as pointless. If held once every four years, with ordinary Six Nations still being held in other years, it would risk carrying little prestige when it is clearly harder to win the round robin format.

RWC seeding could add increased
importance to the tournament
One possible good remedy for this is attaching RWC seeding. Instead of the silly current method of basing the seeding on a snapshot of the rankings 3 years out. If this European tournament saw sides competing for seeding then all sides would be at 100% for it and the matches would increase with importance and intensity as a result. This would help it keep the vibe of a big event, and justify it as worth having once every four years as something slightly distinct and special than an ordinary Six Nations.

Obviously this would require both Six Nations and World Rugby to agree to this. But there has long been a missed opportunity to add more intrigue and tension to some mid-RWC matches if WR put RWC seeding directly at stake.

More revenue from "Tier 2" matches in tournaments than friendlies

As mentioned in detail in a previous article. If "Tier 1" played their "Tier 2" matches in a tournament context would have much higher commercial value than in friendlies.

Ireland vs Romania set the RWC attendance record at Wembley at far from cheap ticket prices. If the tournament managed was promoted and marketed in a way that created the same big event feel around as in RWCs. There would be little to fear in terms of revenue loss from those matches.

More matches to sell to TV broadcasters

Another point mentioned in the previous article. The tournament would also see an increase from 15 to 20 matches (whilst not adding more weekends). This would create more content to sell to TV broadcasters and more possible exposure for sponsors in more markets.

The potential pay offs from long term growth

In spite of the Six Nations undoubted success. It still has recently struggled to attract a title sponsor at the asking price. Opening the door to new markets could increase its visibility.

Finally it is important to repeat of thinking of the long term not just the present. Including sides like Georgia and Spain would allow them substantially more extra room to professionalise and improve. Both could also surely fill football stadiums if given a chance in an expanded Six Nations and bring excellent atmosphere and added colour to the tournament.

In addition opening the door to expansion (presuming qualifiers for the two new places) in the much longer term could also attract more sponsorship and investment in other less rugby oriented places like Germany if they saw the door was held open.

Talking about long term payoff may seem unpersuasive as it is vague and nobody can see in the future to guarantee it. But we have seen over the last 20 years the biggest success the sport has had in growth come from the RWC. The examples seen there show the best evidence that more inclusion is the most important factor in growing the sport.

South Africa

South Africa at the U20 Summer Series opened up
a place for Georgia to compete at the tournament
This is not something ideal as it removes a place for an REC team and also means the tournament is no longer European. But if the Six Nations were to add South Africa though like they are adding them to everything else their presence would remove any issue around reduced standard in the immediate term if that is the biggest problem. This move would at least open one place to an REC side (as seen at the recent U20 Summer Series) and one place is better than none.

First steps

Whilst accept it is a long shot to ever persuade the Six Nations to open up. Hopefully more articles like this can be the first baby steps to at least getting expansion some sort of hearing and start to create momentum for some change. It would be good to hear journalists start pressing the Six Nations blazers about the positive case of a rising tide lifting all the boats up with expansion and not the more negative case to bring Italy down with promotion and relegation.

Even if the idea of expansion sounds unappealing or not quite ready right now. Hopefully some will start thinking about it as a concrete goal to be achieved in the not too far future.

Even if the big goal remains a way off. Hopefully the idea of expansion being more widely discussed can at least perhaps lead to some smaller concessions from the Six Nations which would help the sport grow. For example one being the inclusion of Georgia and Portugal/Spain to the U20 Six Nations.

If you have any other good ideas of how the Six Nations can possibly be persuaded to consider expansion in the rest of Europe. Leave them in the comments below.

Thursday 25 August 2022

The Six Nations waste potential to power rugby's growth

[This is a follow up post to a previous one about how the RWC has been the main driver of global growth over the past 20 years]

One may look at Italy and their results over the past 9 years and ask "How has being in the Six Nations helped them? They constantly lose". It is not often you see this point made, but in actual fact Italy has benefited MASSIVELY by being added to the Six Nations.

To understand this properly you need to think of the counterfactual where Italy were ignored by the Six Nations and remained a "Tier 2" side in the REC. In this hypothetical world all the following things would have most likely been different:

  • They would not have the annual budget of all the top five REC sides Georgia, Romania, Spain, Portugal, & Netherlands combined.
  • As a result not had the money for professional teams in the URC.
  • More often played at far smaller stadiums with far smaller crowds.
  • Not had the money to invest so much in improving what was a weak youth system.
  • Nor the regular international competition for that youth to test themselves.
  • Nor would they have the full 3 votes on the World Rugby Council.
  • Selection would have less consistency and involve more negotiation with clubs.
  • Nor would have they been able to select anywhere near the level of foreign imports and heritage players they have managed to get available over the years (over the 2003-2013 period this was a high percentage of their most significant players).
  • And may have very likely got caught fielding ineligible players and like Spain got booted out of a RWC by Russian sleuths if they played in REC too.

It is true Italy's wooden spoon collection has hardly made them the ideal example of how entry to the Six Nations can grow the sport. But that is only if you ignore what the Six Nations prevented them most becoming: a mid-table REC side probably 5 or 6 places lower in the rankings than they are today and without the ability to invest so much in improving youth.

The more you think about this. The more totally obvious it becomes. Of course Italian rugby is much better and richer than it would be otherwise outside the Six Nations. It is for this reason any suggestion they voluntarily put their place at risk in a relegation playoff is a non-starter.

Despite many losses Italy's participation in the Six
Nations has still boosted their level immensely.
Sadly for the sport though few appear to have properly understood this and been able to follow the logical implications of how spreading some of those same benefits of the Six Nations to others would grow the game on the rest of the continent. Instead after every bad result over the last 8 years we have more often heard useless talk of kicking Italy out of the Six Nations (a truly terrible idea that would risk setting them back years).

People now just assume if Georgia or Portugal were added to the Six Nations they would just be another Italy. However much like when the RFU wanted to exclude both those nations from the 2007 World Cup. This is a hopelessly short termist growth killing viewpoint.

Instead what they should be thinking is: "Georgia and Portugal are pushing Italy hard to close and exciting competitive games despite having only a fraction of their budget. Imagine how much more they could grow if the Six Nations opened its doors and they were able to get considerably more funding and experience".

Also: "Spain got a crowd of 40,000 for an exhibition game. There is huge growth potential there. Imagine how much stronger they could be with the budget to maintain a more consistent selection and retain homegrown players like Lucas Paulos and Samu Ezeala. Plus add heritage players the level of Joris Segonds or Rémy Baget like Italy has always been able to do with the likes of Parisse and Castrogiovanni, or in more recently Polledri and Capuozzo".

Lamentably though it is doubtful any thoughts along those lines crossed the mind of a single one of the Six Nations blazers this summer. And that is why the sport struggles to grow.

Georgia and other REC nations compete with a
fraction of the budget of Italy and other "Tier 1". 

Instead of encouraging and inviting growth. The vague alternative idea seems to be that "Tier 1" plays "Tier 2" occasionally in friendlies. And for a team like Georgia to ever join the Six Nations they must follow the same model as Italy and work their way into the tournament through a few wins in those friendlies until they can no longer be ignored (it is sort of the libertarian "pull yourself up by your bootstraps" line of thinking).

This idea basically means Georgia (or any other REC side) is asked to beat Six Nations sides despite having a fraction of the budget, a fraction of the professional player pool, a fraction of the top level experience, and those occasional matches when they happen most often being played away from home.

Unfortunately some clueless people think this is the best and most efficient way to grow the sport. Instead of expanding the Six Nations and enabling them to build a better budget, player pool, and experience to be able to compete. They are asked to perform a miracle only possible with a one off "golden generation" (which would then be wasted as they'd have spent entire careers playing those friendlies and be retired by the time they ever got into the tournament).

When discussing Georgia and the Six Nations. You will commonly hear something along the lines of "yeah, they should get chance of some more "Tier 1" games, but not the Six Nations". Whilst on the surface this may sound supportive, in reality it maintains the vastly uneven playing field and is basically just fobbing them off. Anyone who repeats that line with no plan of Six Nations expansion attached is not genuinely serious about growing the sport.

Expecting teams to repeat Italy's early professional
era wins over Five Nations sides is unrealistic and
ignorant of how international rugby has changed.
(Note: The comparison to Italy c.1997-98 is utterly flawed for another reason. In those barely just turned pro years of the sport. Scotland (at home) could lose 68-10, France (at home) could lose 52-10, and Wales could lose 96-13 versus South Africa. Ireland (at home) could lose 63-15, England could lose 64-22, and Argentina could lose 93-8 versus New Zealand. Never in the history of the sport was the gap between 5N and SANZAR bigger. Nowadays the international landscape is totally different. It is simply not a fair comparison for example to compare Georgia playing Ireland in 2022 to Italy playing Ireland in 1997).

Expansion can be in the interests of "Tier 1" too

Obviously expansion to the Six Nations should be in the interests of every REC nation and anyone who genuinely cares about growing the sport (a lot of fans may say they do but when it comes to applying the necessary changes needed very clearly don't).

But there is another reason why expansion and involvement of "Tier 2" in big events ought to be in the interests of "Tier 1" instead of just playing "Tier 2" in friendlies.

Anyone who has followed rugby long enough should know vaguely supportive promises of "more games for Tier 2 between World Cups" are far from reliable. In 2017 World Rugby pledged to increase "Tier 1 vs Tier 2" matches by 39% over 2020-32. However pretty much the status quo remains (four SANZAAR sides play four of the Six Nations sides on a July/November weekend with the two left over Six Nations playing a "Tier 2" nation).

Reason for little change is obvious. Those friendlies are on some level fundraisers. The biggest draws are the biggest brands (ie All Blacks). When it comes down to it, no "Tier 1" side is volunteering to play two rather one "Tier 2" side in November. For matches involving less established teams to attain high commercial value it requires attachment to a big brand event.

A perfect example of this is the last three matches between Fiji and Uruguay. Despite being one of the lower profile games shifted to midweek, in 2015 and 2019 the fixture sold out stadiums in both Milton Keynes and Kamaishi which were broadcast to global audiences on TV. By contrast in 2018 they played a November friendly at Hartpury College and the crowd was in three figures and only streamed on YouTube. Many of those fans did not come for Fiji vs Uruguay specifically. They came to see the RWC.

Ireland vs Romania sold out Wembley to set
the record crowd of 89,267 for a RWC match.
Similarly in 2015 when we saw Ireland vs Romania sell out Wembley to set the RWC attendance record of 89,267. It was not Romania that were a huge draw per se. Again it was the RWC as an event that sold.

The Six Nations as an event has a similar effect in selling the matches involving a somewhat lower profile team in Italy. We can see this by comparing the fixtures involving Italy in the Six Nations and the exact same fixtures when played as friendlies in RWC warm ups.

2003 RWC warm ups:
25,000 vs Scotland in Edinburgh (20,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)
14,000 vs Ireland in Limerick (35,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)

2007 RWC warm ups:
14,000 vs Ireland in Belfast (35,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)

2011 RWC warm ups:
20,000 vs Scotland in Edinburgh (22,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)

2015 RWC warm ups:
10,000 vs Scotland in Torino (56,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)
43,000 vs Scotland in Edinburgh (19,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)
52,000 vs Wales in Cardiff (14,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)

2019 RWC warm ups:
30,000 vs Ireland in Dublin (21,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)  
25,000 vs France in Paris (25,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)
50,000 vs England in Newcastle (32,000 fewer than previous fixture in the Six Nations)

Some of those crowds are good (50,000 in Newcastle or Cardiff). But still on average across those 10 friendlies Italy games sold 28,000 fewer tickets per match at presumably lower prices and lower TV rights than they did in the corresponding Six Nations fixture. The largest effect is seen in Italy itself, who attract far better numbers for the Six Nations than friendlies.

To be fair "Tier 1" Six Nations sides (besides Italy) get quite healthy crowds these days hosting their annual "Tier 2" fixture in November, but those matches are still obviously of much higher commercial value as part of big events than friendlies.

If the Six Nations would be willing to think long term there is also the larger potential future pay off in creating more competitive teams with bigger fanbases, and having a tournament with more matches to sell, which allows for more possible exposure for sponsors and larger TV deals. The modern day RWC has grown more lucrative as an event for these reasons and Six Nations could too. "Tier 2" growth should not have to come at expense of "Tier 1".

Conclusion: Six Nations has huge potential power to grow the sport in Europe that it is wasting. As seen at the RWC, most growth comes from expanding major tournaments, not from friendlies.

"Tier 1" blazers take the view that the big mid-RWC events must ultra exclusive to themselves, and they will "grow the game" with the odd friendly. This gets it totally back to front. It is the big events that make the biggest impact in growing the sport and should aim to be inclusive. Then you can leave sides to organise friendlies and three match test series mostly as they please.

For rugby to grow, and one day fully shed its "Tier" tags, it is crucial that its administrators open their minds to the idea of expansion of the major mid-RWC event. There are huge potential gains to be made throughout the continent from an expanded European Championship event (maybe once every four years similar to football). Especially for all those labelled "Tier 2" of course, but long term also "Tier 1" as well.

It is incredibly frustrating the Six Nations with their total lack of vision and desire for growth fail to see this. European expansion should be seen as a great opportunity for the sport, where unlike the USA there is a more open niche available for full contact team sport, but it gets ignored and wasted as "Tier 2" sides remain asked to compete at enormous financial and competitive disadvantages in perpetuity. Rugby has to look at where successful examples of growth have come at RWCs and apply those lessons to their other major events.

Video: Everything Georgia captain Merab Sharikadze says here is spot on. "Rugby must be more open".

Wednesday 24 August 2022

Six examples of how RWC has powered rugby's global growth

Major changes to the hierarchy of international rugby generally occur at a glacial speed. However it is worth looking at some of the biggest success stories of where increases in growth and popularity have happened outside the "foundation Unions" (made up of the old Five Nations and Tri Nations) from over the past 20 or so years.

A common theme in each of these examples is that every single one illustrates the pivotal role the World Cup has had in driving of the sport's growth and expansion in new areas.   

Argentina (1999 & 2007)

Argentina, just like most of the Five Nations, suffered their record heaviest defeat in the early professional era period (where SANZAR professionalised earlier) when in 1997 an amateur side got thrashed 93-8 by New Zealand. It was obvious mostly amateur players would no longer compete with these teams.

Fortunately though a special generation of Argentines born 1973-77 would all emerge at roughly the same time and form the core of the team for the next three World Cups. (Agustín Pichot, Mario Ledesma, Felipe Contepomi, Rodrigo Roncero, Martín Scelzo, Ignacio Fernández Lobbe, Gonzalo Longo, Diego Albanese, Ignacio Corleto, Manuel Contepomi).

Prior to 1999, Los Pumas had disappointingly only won 1 out 9 of their previous RWC games (vs Italy in 1987). This generation changed that. Upsetting Ireland to reach the quarter finals for the first time and firmly putting Argentine rugby on the world map. In the 18 months or so afterwards, the squad was transformed from only having two or three professional players to nearly an entire team playing at a high level in France or England.

Argentina shock France in the opening game of RWC 2007
That first stage of growth led to the second stage when a more experienced team showed up at RWC 2007 and did even better. In a "pool of death" with #1 and #2 of that year's Six Nations, Los Pumas shocked France in the opening game of their home World Cup, then swept aside Ireland to top the pool, and went onto reach the semi finals and win the bronze medal.

Argentina had achieved some big results before (they had beaten all the Six Nations over that four cycle including an away win at Twickenham). However it was this World Cup that captured the public imagination of the country like never before. It was in this tournament this generation confirmed a legacy for future growth.

This is shown today by how the sport has spread across the country. In 2007, 26 of the 30 man squad were from Buenos Aires. Now 13 of the 23 that beat the All Blacks, and all 7 try scorers in their recent record win over the Wallabies, were from other parts of the country. Both those matches were in the Rugby Championship, where the overdue Argentine inclusion was another legacy from that generation's achievement.

Georgia (2007)

To understand how much Georgian rugby has evolved. It always worth going back to this description from The Guardian of their team at the 2003 World Cup.

There was a buzz of excitement in the Georgia camp last week as they rounded off their final training runs at La Grande Motte on the shores of the Mediterranean in southern France.

At last, the 30 members of Georgia's World Cup squad were to receive their first official piece of equipment: tracksuits, paid for by their coach, the Frenchman Claude Saurel, and the other team officials, who had all chipped in to ensure that the players would have at least one piece of equipment in common before they arrived in Australia.

The former Béziers coach and Languedoc winegrower has also forked out for a video camera, computer and tape machine in an attempt to replicate the sophisticated analysis systems now used by major international teams.

"We are light years behind teams like England or France but we realise there is nothing much we can do about it," confided Gregoire Yachvili, the Georgian flanker whose brother, Dimitri, is the scrum-half for France.

"There is no point in our getting obsessed by the logistical and financial difficulties; we just have to get on and do our best. We might not have any tackle-bags, we have no body armour and we have to borrow a scrum machine, but we've got a ball, we've got a pitch to play on, and two teams of players... What else do you need to train for a game of rugby?"

Even more disastrous for the Georgians has been the ad hoc nature of their build-up. A training camp in the mountains of Georgia and a two-match tour of Canada were reluctantly cancelled in July for financial reasons.

At this point Georgian rugby had almost nothing but got by just from natural talent and predisposition for the rough and tumble of the sport along with the helpful generosity of coach Claude Saurel (who used his contacts to first open the doors for Georgian players to play in France - initially in lower leagues but gradually more in higher teams).

Georgia powering to their first RWC win in 2007
Still going in to RWC 2007 there were reports of only eight pitches in the country. But this tournament was a turning point where they most famously came ever so close beating Ireland (indeed they really should won that match). They were also only 6-3 behind vs Argentina at 45 minutes, and resoundingly recorded their first RWC win 30-0 vs Namibia.

It was after this the Georgian government and politicians took notice and started to support the side. In particular from 2008 the Cartu Foundation started investing heavily in improving infrastructure. This enabled the new generation of young kids inspired by Gorgodze to play the sport to enjoy facilities a world apart from what the earlier players in the 2000s had.

The result is Georgia is now one of the leading producers of young talent outside "Tier 1", and have established themselves as the top side of the REC, with a far stronger, more skilled, and professional group of players many of which now star in Top 14 or Pro D2.

Portugal (2007)

Heading into their first World Cup back in 2007. Portugal were supposed to be the exemplar of a team World Rugby wanted to boot out as they planned to cut the tournament back to 16 teams for 2011.

BBC Sport's tournament preview listed their weaknesses as "pretty much everything" and that "hopefully the mismatches they face will not end in serious injury". In The Guardian veteran BBC radio commentator Iain Robertson argued passionately against their presence at the event stating "there is a serious risk to the physical welfare of the Portuguese players" and "it will be an embarrassment for rugby". This was a commonly repeated sentiment at the time among journalists.

Portugal's passionate anthem singing at RWC 2007
In the end whilst they did suffer the largest defeat of that tournament (108-13 against a ruthless all time great All Blacks team), the team won over many spectators with the passion and heart they showed despite their limitations, and their fans in the stands never stopped cheering for them throughout the match. Every single Portuguese player and staff still reflects back on the match as an amazing experience.

Also despite being given least rest time of any team in the tournament they competed above expectation in other matches. They were only 16-5 down to Italy after 65 minutes before fading and conceding two late tries, and led Romania for 71 minutes before losing 14-10 to another late try.

They defied those predictions of how their matches could be "an embarrassment for rugby" and many fans enjoyed watching them play and now argued in favour of keeping sides like them in the tournament. More importantly, their efforts also led to an immediate surge of interest in the sport at home, with large numbers of more kids turning up to play.

Although in the following years they dropped down the rankings, reaching a low in 2016 with relegation from the REC, the legacy of that 2007 World Cup team lived on. As around 10 years later many of those kids who were inspired to take up the sport around that time became part of the growth of Portuguese youth rugby which started performing well above its senior ranking and nearly reaching promotion to the U20 Championship.

A number of those U20 players from 2017-19 were quickly promoted to the senior team, and along with some added French experience, now form the basis of one of the most exciting young teams on the "Tier 2" scene, and who in the past year have nearly upset Japan, Georgia, Italy, and were within 10 seconds of qualifying directly for the RWC ("nearly" is a word they will be so desperate not to hear again this November in the Repechage). 

Japan (2015)

The interest in Japanese rugby had long dwindled in the modern era. When in 2009 they were awarded hosting rights to the 2019 World Cup, there was some concern about whether they could fill the grounds for all the smaller matches. Unless a "Tier 1" team came to visit (which was rare - Japan did not host them a single "Tier 1" test between 2005 and 2013), crowds were usually very modest for their usual Pacific Nations Cup matches.

The moment that changed Japanese rugby forever
Then everything changed in September 2015 when Japan shocked the world with the biggest upset in World Cup history against the Springboks. After many years of humiliation against the leading teams on the big stage, Japanese rugby became an overnight sensation and interest instantly boomed with the Brave Blossoms matches attracting some huge TV viewing figures.

A hypothetical win over South Africa in a friendly outside the World Cup would have been equally shocking, but the magnitude of the enormous effect it had on the Japanese public was so much more for the result coming at the sport's showpiece event when the entire world's attention on that match.

If you ever play the match of your life and stage a monumental upset. It is always best to do it on the world stage with every rugby fan watching. One huge match at a World Cup can change everything and leave a legacy.

Not everything has necessarily been perfect in capitalising on that success. but regardless the level of interest remains miles above what it was before 2015 and that momentous match in Brighton, and in the end nobody needed to have worried about the World Cup as the Japanese crowd enthusiastically packed every stadium for every match.

The impact of this match (followed by the repeated heroics at their home RWC four years later) could still be felt more further down the road if the increase in young kids inspired to start rugby as a result of it later brings its benefits to senior level.   

Uruguay (2015)

Uruguay's win over Russia in 2014 has ended up
being significant for all of South American rugby
Uruguay reached the World Cup in 1999 and 2003, but it was their return to the tournament after defeating Russia in 2014 that led to major growth and change to the sport in the country. Indeed that match in Montevideo may be one of the most significantly important matches in South American rugby history.

Heading into RWC 2015 they proudly talking of their amateur status. Afterwards, with the unlocked funding and ambition they gained from the tournament, they launched a new era under coach Esteban Meneses.

This involved leading players signing up to a more professional High Performance system and better schedule of matches. Although it was not all plain sailing (they had miserable November tours in 2016 and 2018), they arrived at the 2019 World Cup a far better prepared outfit having qualified without needing to go through the Repechage and beaten all the four national teams in the now defunct Americas Rugby Championship that year.

Los Teros played three of the same opponents (Wales, Australia, Fiji) in 2019 as they did in 2015. In every match they were more competitive than they had been four years earlier. Improving from an 166-27 aggregate score against them to an 107-53 aggregate score. This of course included their all time best ever result with the upset vs Fiji.

That improved level Uruguay showed in 2019 would never have been possible if they hadn't qualified beating Russia in 2014 first. Their success then added to the entire South American rugby ecosystem and with that came another bonus bit of growth as well.

If Uruguay didn't reach RWC 2015 it is far less likely the new South American domestic league SLAR would have launched in 2020, and if that league had not launched it is likely Chile would never have been able to obtain a more professional High Performance system of their own, and without that their defeat of the USA to become the biggest surprise qualifier in recent World Cup history would not have likely been possible. 

USA (1999-2019)

This case is a bit different to all the others mentioned here. USA Rugby is far from at its highest point, and cannot be said to have made the level of progress some may have hoped. There is a good chance they may even not qualify for the World Cup next year.

Would USA's historic win over Scotland have
happened if they had missed RWCs for over 20 years?
However they are still a success story of the World Cup in that it has prevented decline as much as helped growth. To understand this you need to ask yourself a counterfactual. What would the state of USA Rugby look like today if the tournament had never expanded and remained at 16 teams and Canada kept the Eagles out of the event for over 20 years? (2019 was the first time USA beat Canada to take the Americas qualifying spot).

My guess is that they would probably be about several years behind where they are now. The Major League Rugby project would be not yet be in existence. Nor would have they got that historic win over Scotland in 2018. And probably can forget about the plan for them to host the World Cup in 2031. Rugby League may have even seen an opportunity to attempt targeting them as a region where Union was weaker.

(Similarly when looking at Italy in the Six Nations. They may not have been great, but in the counterfactual world where they were ignored by the Five Nations like Romania in the 1980s, they would have likely fallen to the level of a mid-table REC side and had none of the money to invest in improving their youth which now so looks to promising for a brighter future).

Some have hypothesised World Rugby expanded to 20 teams in 1999 to keep the USA involved after were left out for the first time in 1995. There are no direct quotes saying this was the reason, and there were plans in the 2000s to reduce the format to leave them out again, but if it was the reason it was a sensible one. Now there is a speculation among fans if them missing out again in 2023 will lead WR to hurry up and increase to 24 teams for 2027 not 2031.

Conclusion: RWC is the key driver of the sport's growth and must be understood as investment for the FUTURE not the just the present


Nothing else over the past 20 years has been as consistently proven to significantly grow the sport outside the old Five Nations and Tri Nations sides as the World Cup.

The most important lesson to learn though is the Rugby World Cup is about the future as much as the present. This is relevant to today's discussions over potential expansion to a 24 team tournament.

For much of the 2000s there were frequent discussions over mismatches at the tournament. In 2002 the RFU bid for the 2007 World Cup with a plan to cut it down to 16 teams. That failed as France won the bid and kept the 20 team format, but World Rugby again initially planned to reduce the tournament to 16 for 2011.

Portugal vs Georgia this year would have likely been
of a much lower standard if the short termist RFU had
gotten their way and cut them both out of RWC 2007
We can now see just how disastrously short termist those plans were. If the RFU had won that bid and enacted their plan neither Georgia or Portugal would have been at the 2007 World Cup. The investment since 2008 in Georgian rugby simply would not have happened. Some of those kids who took up rugby in Portugal and now are playing such good rugby for the national team may have never picked up the sport.

RWCs also serve as a good arena for talent to get noticed. For example USA vs South Africa match in 2007 launched two successful pro careers. Chris Wyles, who was unattached and on the verge of quitting rugby, got noticed by Eddie Jones and signed by Saracens. Whilst Takudzwa Ngwenya famously scorched Bryan Habana for one of the best tries in RWC history which led to a move to Biarritz. Both players went on to strengthen the Eagles across three World Cups. If RFU had their way none of that would have happened.


Similarly if they reduced to 16 teams Uruguay would have never qualified in 2015. Much of their progress over the next four year cycle would not have been possible, nor the improvements that spilled over to Chile over this four year cycle.

Even some of the sides that did still reach World Cups may have been negatively effected as the entire "Tier 2" global rugby ecosystem would have been weakened. A side like Japan would have still qualified, but their preparation for each tournament would have suffered from several of their opponents having made less progress.

Thankfully improved performances from "Tier 2" in 2007 changed minds on this issue. Not many talk of reducing to 16 teams any more, but now World Rugby remain wary of increasing to 24 teams for same reasons they were constantly thinking of cutting back to 16 in the 2000s.

It is true that total wipeouts are not desirable and you don't want to see too many. But fans and administrators also need to understand short term pain for long term gain. Georgia needed to first play 2003 to be the side that recently thrashed Scotland at U20 level. Portugal needed to play 2007 to be the exciting team they are today. Uruguay needed to first play 2015 to be more competitive in 2019 and Chile needed that to qualify for 2023.

Stories of growth like these are why World Rugby should stop being overly cautious about increasing to 24 teams for the 2027 World Cup. The tournament is the vehicle that has produced most of the sport's growth over the professional era and they have to think about expanding for the potential pay off in the future and not solely focus on the present.

Thursday 18 August 2022

Should Georgia be forced into the Repechage playoff for fielding a player using PEDs?

Whilst talk of performance enhancing drugs in sports measured by times or distances like athletics, cycling, or swimming is abundant. Sports like rugby, football, tennis etc largely escape carrying anything close to the same reputation.

Pro rugby player/bodybuilder Chris Cloete  

Some part of this is likely testing in individual sports is significantly easier where you just need to focus on the top few dozen athletes. Than testing in a team sports league with thousands of athletes. The other is questions of doping will always very obviously pop out after a freakishly fast time in athletics (Flo Jo's record for instance), but less so after a huge performance in other sports that may have been similarly enhanced.

But there is reason to think the way a sport like athletics is singled out for a bad reputation above other sports may be a bit unfair. As whilst it certainly has obviously long been prevalent in the sport (57% admitted doping in an anonymous survey in 2011), they do test harder and have caught a higher number of high profile names in the past compared to other sports.

In rugby this a sorely under talked about topic. The modern professional players frequently have training regimes that contain a large amounts of bodybuilding (an activity known to mix with a culture of widespread steroid abuse) with players especially youngsters often told to "get bigger". They also stand a reasonably good chance of only occasionally being tested. And like most sports there is the issue of a backwards incentive structure of rugby needing to pay big money to better police and expose negative press about itself which leads to relatively meagre anti-doping efforts.

IRFU drug tested their pro players only 107 times
in 2017/18 (far fewer tests than they have pro players)

In 2017/2018 the RFU made 739 tests across the Premiership, Championship, and women's Premier 15s. That's well under even one test per player in a season. In the same season IRFU made only 107 tests of its professional c.200 men's players. Last May after a Top 14 barrage match Kane Douglas on an episode Le French Rugby Podcast said he was tested for the first time in his four years in France.

Keep in mind testing is actually ineffectivefor catching cheats (although still very much worth doing for keeping doping in check by forcing cheats to be at least a bit careful). Nick Harris of Sporting Intelligence estimates it catches maybe 1 in 20. We know for a fact from anonymous surveys plenty of athletes do not get caught. Or a huge doper like Lance Armstrong can go his entire career passing every test. More often big names are more likely to be caught from a journalistic investigation and whistle blowers than testing. Indeed pro rugby's level of testing is largely almost useless for catching a sophisticated cheating regime. Unsurprisingly considering this very few big name professional players have been busted in the last 10 years (something which WR anti-doping general manager Mike Earl rather complacently uses to claim that "it confirms that there isn’t a serious doping issue at the top level of the game").

But at slightly lower level over the last 12 months we have actually seen 7 active international 15s players get banned for PEDs. All of them from "Tier 2" nations and also all players based in "Tier 2" nations.

The banned players are: Russia's first choice hooker Stanislav Selskii (3 years), Colombia and Cafeteros hooker Juan David Herrera (3 years), Colombia women's prop Luxora Suarez (2 years), Namibia prop Gerhard Opperman (3 years), Zimbabwe fly half Dudlee White-Sharpley (3 years), Georgia lock Davit Gigauri (4 years), USA back row Riekert Hattingh (very generously only 6 months).

Indeed this a theme. Look at the list of players caught in WR competition and it's overwhelmingly players from outside any of the major "Tier 1" nations. Why do these players get caught more?

It's most likely for same reason amateur cyclists apparently now get caught more than pros. Their doping is likely less sophisticated or smart enough to escape the very basic testing in place (indeed the players maybe even got surprised by the presence of testing at a lower profile international). It seems implausible though that nearly all the PED users in international rugby are its lower profile players.

Should Georgia have been deducted points for fielding
Davit Gigauri who was later banned for using PEDs?
But all this also raises another question. Why when we have seen sides harshly punished for fielding an ineligible player, is there almost no consequence for a team fielding what is essentially an ineligible player using PEDs?

Davit Gigauri played in four of the ten matches Georgia's RWC qualifying campaign. It is true Georgia may not have intended to cheat, but neither did Spain with Van den Berg. Also true they would have certainly qualified without him, but so would have Spain without Van den Berg.

If you deduct 5 points from each match Gigauri played, then Georgia would now being forced to play the Repechage this November against USA (although this would put them in the exact same group anyway).

On the one hand it would seem harsh as Gigauri is surely far from the only player to have used PEDs among sides qualified for the World Cup. But on the otherhand there surely is a case for the team gaining an advantage (knowingly or not) from a player using PEDs to be penalised more than they currently are.

Wednesday 17 August 2022

Why World Rugby should investigate Italy eligibility revelations

Martin Castrogiovanni is one of 8 former Italian players to suggest
  in interviews his link to Italy was only via great-grandparent
This month question marks arose over the eligbility of at least 8 former Italy internationals. The biggest name among them was Martin Castrogiovanni, a legendary figure at tighthead for the Azzurri who won 119 caps and played across four RWCs. The others were Gonzalo Canale, Santiago Dellape, Ramiro Pez, Gonzalo Garcia, Carlo del Fava, Luciano Orquera, and Alberto di Bernardo (in addition to that there were also further cases in Italy A bringing the total of question marks up to double figures).

The error in all these cases was the same. In 2018 Belgium were found to have fielded half a dozen players who mistakenly confused having citizenship via great-grandparents with being eligible which they were not. Italy basically seem to have done the same thing repeatedly over the first decade and a half of the 21st century.

It should be noted that, whilst interviews seem suggest the likelihood (unless more information proves otherwise) is that at least some of these players were probably not eligible, disappointingly we will probably never know for 100% certain sure as World Rugby and FIR have refused to show any interest.

World Rugby's reaction has been shared among a few similarly uncurious "Tier 1" fans (by contrast fans of teams who were more effected such as Spain seem very interested). After all the players are from the previous generation and now retired. So why care?

There are in fact quite a number of reasons this issue is worth World Rugby investigating more ....

Firstly just for the pure interest in knowing more about rugby history.

Between them these players won 459 caps for Italy. All but one of them (di Bernardo) had substantial 40+ cap international careers. So together they were a considerable part of this Argentine infused era of Italian rugby. If the players were confirmed not eligible it would add context to this period of Italian rugby history and we would reflect on it slightly differently. An era that was not only heavily reliant on Argentines for competitiveness, but also through weak appliance of eligibility laws.

It would be interesting to know if these allegations are true or not just for the sake of knowledge. Even if time has passed so nothing can be done. Just as somewhat similarly it would be interesting to know if any truth to the whispers South African players were doping in 1995 (or any other time). Even if nothing can be done now. This stuff is interesting to know and relevant to how we look back on rugby history. Nobody should want the issue left at just question marks.

Secondly if players were not eligible it impacted several "Tier 2" nations.

In 2002 Castrogiovanni and Dellape both played in RWC qualifiers. This should have disqualified Italy (as it did Russia in the same set of qualifiers) and seen Spain reach the RWC in their place. In 2006 Pez and Del Fava also both played RWC qualifiers. This also should have disqualified Italy and seen Portugal reach the RWC in their place (with Russia then facing Uruguay in the Repechage playoff).

Qualifying to the RWC is a big deal for these nations. The failure to catch it at the time cost 60 players a possibly once in a career chance to play at the sport's biggest event. Furthermore Italy also fielded the players at the tournaments themselves which after 2007 saw them auto-qualify through third place in their pool. So this system means that Italy still benefit from those non-eligible players through having boosted seeding and better pool draws at RWCs continuing right to today.

"Tier 2" sides missed RWCs and possibly
on historic wins due to Italy's alleged
ineligible players all escaping notice
Obviously you can't retroactively go back in time and disqualify a nation. But those nations effected still deserve to know the truth, and there is a case they should even get some small compensation (maybe this could come from Italy paying the same fines for eligibility mistakes that Spain had to pay).

Also in this period there were some close games between Italy and "Tier 2" nations which possibly cost some historic wins. At the 2007 RWC for instance, in a close match vs Romania decided by just 6 points, one of Italy's tries came from Pez kicking through for Dellape to score (both players maybe ineligible). In 2003 they also beat Canada by just 5 points with ineligible players. In the warm up before that tournament they also had possibly four ineligible players in the starting XV when they beat Georgia by 9 points.

Thirdly plenty of Italian players impacted too.

Whilst Italy's level as a national team in this era benefited from all these players. It did not benefit all the dozen or so Italian players who missed out hundreds of caps on between them. For some of those players representing Italy would have been a childhood dream lost. Again it can't be fixed now, but those players still all deserve to know the truth of whether or not they were denied their place rightly.

Also another interesting counterfactual to consider. It is widely considered the Argentine boost to Italy in the era of roughly 2003-2013 covered up the fact their homegrown youth teams were performing poorly and producing relatively few players. Something that later got badly exposed as this generation declined or retired and there were fewer Argentines to call upon (partly thanks to Argentina starting to mass cap all their young players in South American tournaments throughout the 2010s).

In recent times Italy has fixed their weak youth setup and this year was their strongest U20 side yet. It will not happen overnight but in longer term there is a bright future for Italian rugby. If they had not had so many Argentines in the previous era though would have they been forced to address this earlier?

Fourthly World Rugby need to examine how this went so unnoticed.

Some of these cases were not particularly hidden. Carlo del Fava even stated his father and grandfather were both born in South Africa and his link to Italy only comes via great-grandfather on the official Six Nations website of all places!

Spain got exposed by a level of eligibility
scrutiny from rival nations that does not
appear to exist elsewhere in rugby
This in complete contrast to the recent case with Spain, who only saw Gavin van den Berg exposed after a Russian sleuth browsed for two years worth of Facebook posts (and Spanish fans then in turn searched through three years of Jason Tomane's Instagram feed to find an accusation which was later found to be okay with an exemption). If that level of Russian sleuthing existed in 2006 it might have got them to the World Cup ....

But why does it appear the only serious scrutiny to the eligibility status of players come from the rivalries of REC nations engaged in fiercely contested RWC qualifying process? Should not the sport's governing body start to take more responsibility itself and be a bit more thorough in its checking process to stop these mistakes ever happening in the first place?

It would not surprise in the least if there have been several more instances of mistakes in eligibility that have escaped any scrutiny. This includes possibly some big name players in "Tier 1". World Rugby owes it to the sport to investigate how and why (if the allegations are confirmed true) there was such a failure in their eligibility checks that went unnoticed across so many years and to stop it happening again.

Tuesday 16 August 2022

Uruguay bafflingly push to qualify for the World Sevens Series

In an unfortunate development for "Tier 2" rugby, recently Scotland, Wales, & England merged their 7s setups into a Great Britain side. This opened up a new spot on the World 7s circuit (although the recent Welsh effort was so weak in 7s they were threatening relegation anyway).

7s is basically rugby's equivalent of 5-a-side football. It is useful reduced format for recreational and amateur participation plus fits nicely into events like the recent Commonwealth Games. However the many games over long weekends across different time zones makes it difficult follow closely year round and severely limits its potential to grow popularity as a spectator sport.

A WR employee acknowledged its limits as a product in a recent interview with Rugby World talking about the need for other attractions and a Darts style atmosphere at the events. At 7s most popular port of call in Hong Kong apparently there is a saying "if you ever get bored of the sevens, you can turn around and watch the rugby".

Despite this WR often push 7s as the key to growing game in "Tier 2" countries. This is partly a patronising Tier 1 effort to excuse some historically weak efforts to grow 15s by fobbing off Tier 2 Unions with the version of the game they don't care about. It is partly a delusional idea that 7s is rugby equivalent of T20 cricket which totally misunderstands the format. It is also partly due to the overly hopeful idea Olympic entry is the golden ticket for growing into a hugely popular global sport (unfortunately this idea is not helped of course by the fact the Olympics outside the big few events are mostly a not particularly popular set of niche sports only noticed once every four years).

In reality though, entry to the 6 months 7s circuit has nearly always been a negative drain on the 15s for most low resource "Tier 2" nations (Fiji is a very notable exception for despite being low in money are extremely resource rich for suitable talent and the 7s game being a rich part of their rugby history).

These nations have tended to end up in a muddle. They sort of follow "Tier 1" in that they don't often play 100% with their best possible talent. But take enough talent that it still takes a few players from the 15s player pool which for those "Tier 2" nations is very small comparative to any "Tier 1". As a result they end up in the undesirable situation of achieving 100% of their potential in neither 15s or 7s.

The biggest example of all here is Canada. But also to various different degrees Samoa, Spain, USA, Portugal, Russia have all ended up somewhat muddled. (Japan keep 7s distant enough from 15s but that has just left them with a virtually pointless bottom of the table side full of 5th tier talent).

More 7s focused nations Germany and Hong Kong

There is plenty of evidence of how having a team on the 7s circuit risks for most "Tier 2" nations only negative effects for 15s with little upside. So well informed Unions on the recent "Challenger 7s" who have not drunken the Kool-Aid the Tier 1 WR were selling to them ought to have known this. The question is what Unions really wanted to take that extra Sevens Series spot the most?

The answer was probably Germany, who are led by a credulous CEO who is one of the very few who believes the comically ludicrous fan statistics that Nielsen Sports produce for WR and uses that as the basis for the nonsensical view 7s is the future of the sport. Since the collapse of Capri Sun sponsored 15s team DRV have targeted 7s. Not the a recommend decision (and now a problem for the expanded REC), but to be fair to the Germans, their policy is at least coherent and not confused in same way as others. They have been clear in going 100% for 7s. Avoiding the trap achieving sub-par potential in both codes.

Hong Kong also target 7s more, even resting some players for their RWC qualifier vs Tonga for this event, and have relatively small 15s schedule. Whilst it also makes more sense for Uganda to push for 7s circuit spot considering African sides also play relatively few matches a year. It would have been better if any of these three had qualified considering none appear to progressing anywhere in 15s anyway so can at least devote 100% effort towards 7s (however if rugby is to ever grow in the Asia and Africa regions though to find a decent 24th RWC team it will take a fully focused 15s effort to do so).

However there is a problem. Germany, Hong Kong, Uganda are all nations of not huge strength in rugby. The RWC sides involved Tonga, Uruguay, Chile, Georgia are all stronger rugby nations with better talent pools. If they really cared enough to pick their best talent to beat them at 7s they all could.

As it happens. Tonga did not care enough. Chile even at home did not care to add many top tier 15s talent either. But Georgia and Uruguay whilst hardly loading their teams with big names to be as strong as possible both decided to field stronger sides with more 15s talent than they usually ever would (neither has cared much for 7s in the past). This talent overcame early adjustments needed for the format enough to beat more focused 7s specialist setups Germany or Hong Kong and reach the final.

Uruguay the winner ... but also the loser
So this final ended up being one where the losing side would win by being spared the confusion and hassle of interrupting 15s resources. In the end Uruguay were the winner .... but also the loser.

You could hardly find a nation more ill advised to start a World 7s Series adventure than Uruguay. They are small nation, with a tiny player pool with few genetic freaks, who have to fully maximise their talent to overachieve and punch well above their weight to compete with bigger nations in 15s.

This makes the Uruguayans drafting in half a dozen young players from their 15s setup (Baltazar Amaya, Felipe Etcheverry, Bautista Basso, Tomas Inciarte, Carlos Deus, Tomas Etcheverry) to achieve qualification an utterly bafflingly daft decision from the Union. If they intend to field this team on the full time 7s circuit then they will have reduced strength in depth from a 15s player pool that has precious little. They would also fall into the 7s trap of not achieving full potential in either code.

If on the otherhand they don't interrupt their 15s player pool, then they just qualified with a stronger team than they actually intended to field on the actual 7s circuit, and will likely be totally uncompetitive with all but the lowest of low effort sides on the circuit which would be utterly pointless.

Either way using 15s players to qualify for World 7s Series was an incredibly unwise move from the URU who had been doing such good work to improve over last five years. You might have thought they could have seen other examples of "Tier 2" nations on the circuit and been warned off. But instead appear to have followed the false 7s cliched myths sold by the sports ignorant "Tier 1" leaders.